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The Bay Area Water
Supply and Conservation Agency typically conducts an annual
survey of its members in order to update key agency-wide information
and assist in projecting suburban demand and population. Summarized
below and included in the following pages in written, tabular,
and/or graphic form are the most pertinent and interesting
highlights of the FY 2005-06 surveys. In FY 2004/2005, several
planning studies were completed by the SFPUC, in close coordination
with the BAWSCA agencies, including:
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SFPUC Wholesale
Customer Water Demand Projections (URS, 2004a)
SFPUC Wholesale
Customer Water Conservation Potential (URS, 2004b)
SFPUC Wholesale
Customer Recycled Water Potential (RMC, 2004)
SFPUC 2030 Purchase
Estimates (URS, 2004)
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This series of studies,
designed to support the development and implementation of
the SFPUC Water System Improvement Program, document projected
changes in the service area from 2001 (base year) to 2030:
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19.1% increase in
service area population
1.6% increase in
residential water use
31% increase in service
area employment
19% increase in total
water demand
14% reduction in
average single family residential water use per person
4.1% increase in
average gross water use per person
25 mgd (7.8%) reduction
in use due to implementation of existing water saving plumbing
codes
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Past,
Current and Projected SFPUC Purchases
Current
Water Purchases from SFPUC
SFPUC purchases, as
reported by BAWSCA agencies, totaled 174.6 mgd in FY 06-07,
a 6% increase from
the 165 mgd purchased in FY 2005-06. Compared with the 10
year
average, purchase levels
in FY 2006-07 were above average by 5 mgd. SFPUC
purchases in FY 2006-07
were the second highest single year since 1997-98 when the
suburban wholesale
customers purchased 181 mgd.
Higher than average
purchases for FY 05-07 is primarily attributable to a relatively
dry
spring which increased
irrigation demand. Spring purchases were the highest since
2003-04, and the second
highest since 1996-97.
Projected Water Purchases from SFPUC
Using agency-supplied
demand projections, it is estimated that purchases from the
SFPUC - excluding Santa
Clara and San Jose - will approach the 184 mgd supply
assurance by 2020,
if not before. Changing climatological and other forces, however,
make it difficult to
predict with any degree of confidence the year in which water
demand will meet or exceed the supply assurance. Purchases
from the SFPUC are estimated to reach 208 mgd by 2030, inclusive
of San Jose and Santa Clara.
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Total
Water Suppy and Demand
Current
BAWSCA-Wide Total Water Demand Compared to Pre-Drought Conditions
In FY 1996-97, BAWSCA-wide
demand equaled the pre-drought demand of FY 1986-87 at 260
mgd. For 2006-07, total demand was 257 mgd, which is higher
than normal and reflects expected year to year variations.
A variety of reasons potentially explain this increased water
demand including lower annual rainfall combined with warmer
spring temperatures (which increased irrigation demand). Voluntary
water conservation targets of 10% were initiated during Summer
2007.
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Projected
BAWSCA-Wide Total Water Demand
Total projected demand
at 2030 is estimated to reach 320 mgd while 2030 purchases
from SFPUC are estimated
to reach 208 mgd. Thus, by 2030, total annual water
demand is projected
to be 25% greater than 2006-07 levels (see Section III, “Demand
Projections”).
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Current
and Projected Water Supply by Source
BAWSCA's sources of
supply vary little from one year to the next. Of the total
amount of
water used by BAWSCA
agencies in FY 2006-07, 68% came from the SFPUC, 14%
from groundwater, 12%
from other sources (Santa Clara Valley Water District and
the
State Water Project),
4% from local surface water (primarily ACWD's take from Lake
Del
Valle), and 3% from
recycled water. Looking to the future, BAWSCA agencies have
made further commitments
to diversify their water supply portfolio. Projected savings
from implementation
of the existing plumbing code are 25 mgd and reduction of
the 2030 demand by nearly 8%. In addition, conservation and
recycled water will be used to meet an additional 7% of the
projected water demand in the service area in 2030 with the
SFPUC supplying 65% of the total demand.
Current
Water Use by Class of Customer
As with the source
of supply, BAWSCA's demand by customer class varies little
over
time. Among BAWSCA
agencies in FY 2006-07, the residential sector accounted for
59% (153 mgd) of the
257 mgd consumed; commercial and industrial customers, 24%
(62 mgd); other, 10%
(27 mgd); and unaccounted-for water, 6% (15 mgd). In FY 2006-
07, there were 417,894
accounts (service connections) in the entire BAWSCA service
area, 89% or 372,233 of which were residential.
Current and Projected Population
The population of the
BAWSCA service area increased from 1,657,328 to 1,674,100
between FY 2005-06 and FY 2006-07. Projected population for
the BAWSCA service area in 2030 is 1,933,829 or 16% greater
than current levels. This growth equates to a population growth
rate of less than 0.7% per year, and reflects planned growth
within the existing service area boundaries.
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Current
Water Use Per Capita
Average residential
per capita consumption in the BAWSCA service area was 92 gpcpd
in FY 2006-07, up slightly
from the year before. This is 12% less than the estimated
104 gpcpd in pre-drought FY 1976-77. In FY 2006-07, among
BAWSCA agencies, Westborough had the lowest residential per
capita consumption at 49.6 gpcpd while
Purissima Hills had
the highest at 323.6 gpcpd. In FY 2006-07, the 154 gpcpd gross
per capita consumption of the BAWSCA service area was slightly
higher than FY 2005-06, but 16% less than the pre-drought
gross per capita of 182 gpcpd.
Residential Water Bills (as of January
2007)
Water
Rate Structure
Water bill data has
been calculated using each agency's single-family average
monthly use. This information is summarized in Section VII.
Among BAWSCA agencies, the average monthly bill ranged from
a low of $22.57 in San Jose for 9 units to $122.80 for 12
units in Skyline. The average residential water bill among
all BAWSCA agencies was $48.71. Average monthly single-family
use varied from 8 to 38 units.
Conservation Best Management Practices
This year's annual
survey included a specific survey noting which conservation
Best
Management Practices
are being implemented by the BAWSCA agencies. The survey
results show significant
implementation of the conservation Best Management Practices
by the BAWSCA agencies. The survey also identifies how an
agency is implementing a program – either locally or through
a regional program – as well as reasons why an agency might
not be implementing a program. The survey results will be
used to evaluate potential changes to the water conservation
program offered by BAWSCA for the upcoming fiscal year. Specifically,
those areas where program implementation appears weak will
be targeted as potential new programs to be offered and implemented
through the BAWSCA. Survey results are summarized in Section
VIII.
Agency Profiles
Agency profiles Agency profiles
were updated based on revisions supplied by agency representatives.
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March 2008
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